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In “U.S. Sends Top Iranian Leader a Warning on Strait Threat” (New York Times, 1/12/2011),we read that “the Obama administration is relying on a secret channel of communication to warn Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, that closing the Strait of Hormuz is a “red line” that would provoke an American response” and “Administration officials and Iran analysts said they continued to believe that Iran’s threats to close the strait, coming amid deep frictions over Iran’s nuclear program and possible sanctions, were bluster and an attempt to drive up the price of oil”.
But, in other parts of the NYT, we can read that the US has almost convinced Japan and South Korea and is trying, with some success, to convince China not to buy Iranian oil. If we add Europe and the US, this means that the US is trying to put a world embargo on all Iranian oil exports.
Iran will then lose nothing by blocking the Strait because, having no more customers for its oil, it will have nothing to lose and a lot to win by putting pressure on the world to stop its embargo on its main resource.
Moreover, we read in the same New York Times that the US and Europe want to put or are putting an embargo on the Iranian Central Bank.
I am marveled that the US strategists didn’t think that putting an embargo on Iranian oil and on its central bank would push Iran to an all-out war, according to Samson’s sentence when he destroyed the pagan temple: “Let it fall on me and my enemies, O God”.
Are the US political leaders and strategists mad enough to prepare for an excuse to attack Iran, even if the world will go down the drain from lack of energy?
Don’t they realize that this will benefit Russia in some way and will throw Europe and the rest of Eurasia in its arms?
More we think about their completely illogical and even suicidal behavior, the more we are convinced that they are triggered by multinational corporations and lobbies whose interests are in creating chaos and wars, chaos and wars that open the doors for them in selling their goods and services to reconstruct and/or replace what has been destroyed.

Roger Akl

PS: Roger AKL is a former Lebanese navy officer, former Assistant armed Forces Attaché at the Lebanese Embassy in Washington D.C., former Second in Command of the Lebanese Navy (1981- 1984) and former head of the Lebanese liaison bureau with the American forces in Lebanon (1983-1984), former chairman, CEO and director of the board of companies in the INTRA Investment group (1984-1990). Currently he is a writer in Middle Eastern affairs.

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